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This is just like last year


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Stop me if you've heard this one before. Starting pitching performing ok but the bullpen is shaky and your highest paid players who had big bats before they came to Anaheim batting a pathetic average under .100 while Sciosia rambles about it being early and they will come together and Texas jumps out to a nice lead in the division. Here we go again....

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I believe Hamilton has just been pressing being in Cincy and now Texas.. Give him a series or two at home and he'll be back into the swing of things.

Yep, we said the same thing about Albert last year too. If this team plans on having another bad April and most of May thinking its early and they can turn it around, that's dangerous.

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Give it a chance. As I said in another thread, this team will take time to figure itself out - its got a lot of new parts. My guess is that it will hover around .500 in April, maybe a tad worse, start picking up steam in May and be red-hot in June. Patience, amigo.

All the same things we said last year....

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Sorry, but this is a repeat of every season going back to 2010. For the last 3 seasons this team has been below average in it's ability to get big RBI hits after the 6th inning. The Rangers did it twice today, we couldn't do it once! Seems like every year from 2002 through 2009 this team would be down a run or two in the middle innings, but more often than not would mount a rally and win. That almost never happens anymore. The team absolutely MUST have some big come from behind wins early this year otherwise this is going to be a repeat of the last 3 seasons.

BA Late and Close situations:

2009 .294

2010 .202

2011 .243

2012 .248

2013 .200

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Sorry, but this is a repeat of every season going back to 2010. For the last 3 seasons this team has been below average in it's ability to get big RBI hits after the 6th inning. The Rangers did it twice today, we couldn't do it once! Seems like every year from 2002 through 2009 this team would be down a run or two in the middle innings, but more often than not would mount a rally and win. That almost never happens anymore. The team absolutely MUST have some big come from behind wins early this year otherwise this is going to be a repeat of the last 3 seasons.

BA Late and Close situations:

2009 .294

2010 .202

2011 .243

2012 .248

2013 .200

 

Of course those numbers look a lot less miserable when you put them in context, at least the past 2 years.

 

Angels in Late and Close Situations(2010, 2011, and 2012)

 

2010: .202/.269/.340 for a 609 OPS.

2011: .243/.313/.372 for a 685 OPS

2012: .248/.319/.389 for a 708 OPS

 

AL Average in Late and Close Situations(2010, 2011, and 2012)

 

2010: .244/.322/.373 for a 695 OPS

2011: .242/.318/.368 for a 686 OPS

2012: .238/.311/.369 for a 681 OPS

 

AL Champions in Late and Close Situations(2010, 2011, and 2012)

 

2010 Texas Rangers: .248/.326/.362 for a 688 OPS

2011 Texas Rangers: .265/.336/.403 for a 739 OPS

2012 Detroit Tigers: .253/.318/.391 for a 710 OPS

 

So in 2010 the Angels were way below league average in the category, but the AL Champions were also slightly below the AL average. The 2010 Angels performance in those situations was bad, I'll give you that one.

 

In 2011, the Angels were effectively league average in those situations, and trailed the AL champions by 54 points of OPS.

 

But in 2012, the Angels were 27 points above league average in those situations, with the AL champions a whole 1 point ahead of them.

 

The perception that the Angels are so terrible in those situations(and you certainly aren't alone here. In my experience, there's at least a segment of just about every fanbase that thinks they can't hit in big spots), at least in the case of 2011 and 2012, seems to have more to do with the fact that we're watching at least almost every single one of their ABs in those situations and the times they fail stick out.

 

Meanwhile, we remember the times our pitchers gave up those late & close runs to other teams more than the times they didn't.

 

And of course we see all the clutch hits other teams playing in other games get on ESPN or MLB Network more than we do that time their player waved at strike 3 with the bases loaded.

 

That 2010 figure is the only one that sticks out as particularly ugly, but that team wasn't a good offensive club period.

 

This just doesn't seem like it necessarily holds up as well as a theory for their struggles over the past 3 years nearly as much as obvious reasons like the fact that the 2010 and 2011 teams struggled to hit. And that the 2012 team struggled to hit at the beginning, and then struggled to pitch later.

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