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This week in geek


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couple of fun articles.


First one is a comparison of fangraphs playoffs odds vs. a sports book's playoff odds. 





Second is a review of last year's zips projections




The halos, obviously, deviated quite a bit. 


A little blurb:



  • Projection: +1.3 standard deviations
  • Reality: +0.3
  • Difference: -1.1

This, despite Mike Trout over-performing. That’s what happens when you get way too little out of guys like Albert Pujols and Josh Hamilton. The Angels had every reason to expect those guys to be terrific, hence all the money, but Pujols had to play hurt and Hamilton’s just one of the more volatile players in the game. The pitching staff was its own kind of problematic, but it was the position players who were most responsible for this big negative deviation. Pujols and Hamilton should improve in the future, but then, 2013 counts.


And finally, here is a corollary to the bunting thread we had earlier this week:





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