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Gameday Thread: Angels @ A's (5/13/22 6:40 start): Silseth makes his debut, Ward back in the starting lineup 1 2 3 4 18
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Gameday Thread: Rangers @ Angels (9/30/22): Detmers on the mound, O'Hoppe catching
jsnpritchett posted a topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily,
Gameday Thread: Rangers @ Angels (9/30/22): Detmers on the mound, O'Hoppe catching-
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Lessons Learned from the 2022 Los Angeles Angels Bullpen: Leads gained and lost
Docwaukee posted a topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily,
Here's a fun one.
In 154 games this season, at the end of the 5th inning, the Angels have been leading 68 times, tied 24 times and behind 62 times.
ahead, tied, behind at the end of the inning.
5th - 68, 24, 62
6th - 70, 15, 69
7th - 65, 19, 70
8th - 63, 15, 76
9th - 61, 13, 80
So a net of 18 losses when ahead or tied after 5 innings. -7 from the end of the 5th to the end of the 6th.
Anyone want to join my pen depth campaign?-
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The math behind the need for depth
Docwaukee posted a topic in LA Angels | MLB Daily,
An above average offensive team will get about 6200 plate appearances per year.
I don't know the major league avg for the top 9 PA's so I'll use the halos for the last few years because it's applicable at least in part as to how injuries, days off and performance will impact that average.
For the last 5 years it's about 450 PA per player. Or about 4000 PA total.
Which means that about 1/3rd of your PA come from players that aren't in your starting 9.
That's 2000 PA. Or lets call it 5 players averaging 400 PA each.
Even if you have a very unusual season where all 9 of your starters don't lose at bats due to poor performance and very little due to injury and occasional days off, you're talking about probably around 1200 PA. So even in an ideal situation you're still gonna have 3 guys getting 400 PA.
So we're going to go into the off season and potentially into 2023 with question marks in LF, 1b, 2b, SS, 3b, and C.
I don't think it's fair to compare the Angels to monster payroll teams like the Yanks, Dogs or Mets in terms of how they're able to create depth.
But Atlanta might be a good comp assuming a reasonably healthy Rendon next year and if so, Trout, Ohtani and Ward combine to cancel out their top four of Swanson, Riley, d'Arnaud, and Harris. They combined for about 20 WAR. I think our top 4 can do that. And even if the Halos top four don't quite get there, it's less important for what I'm trying to show here. Because, let's be honest. If injuries, or poor performance keep that from happening (again) the offense really only has a chance of being solid at best and probably about average.
But let's look at the rest.
Outside of their top 4 for WAR, they had 10 other guys with 140 or more at bats. Those 10 guys accumulated 8.5 WAR. The remaining 292 PA came from 9 guys for a total of -1.5 WAR.-
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